[gottago]

Yes, it’s a positive vote so if 15% of the voting audience are massively in favour of Isreal in the current situation, they could end up doing alright, particularly if it’s a good song (not heard it, so can’t comment) a lot of non political people might vote for it too. Of course that also assumes a lot of things about how those people would choose to vote.

I think with the juries it would be more difficult as you’d assume music industry types would be more likely to be on the pro-Palestine side. But then again their votes aren’t meant to be clouded politics.

So all in all that situation might make no difference at all.

It is a good song and a typical jury-pleaser. It's also a very open year with no clear winner which could also work to Israel's advantage a lot.

If Iceland had chosen the Palestinian who entered their NF this year and came second having won the first round of votes - with a legitimately very good song and performance that's far better than the Jet2 Holidays track they've chosen instead - then it may well have ended up as an Israel vs Iceland fight for televotes. But as it is there's no 'protest vote' song which could again very much work to Israel's advantage.

If they were to win then that would open a whole new can of worms as to where it would be held next year. I can't imagine Israel being considered safe enough to stage it and even if it was I'm sure a lot of artists and perhaps even broadcasters would refuse to go. I can't imagine any second placed country wanting to showcase Israel in anywhere near the same manner that the UK did with Ukraine.